Thinking In Bets Annie Duke Pdf Link -

The tendency to judge a decision’s quality by its outcome. A bad decision that works out (e.g., driving drunk and arriving safely) is still a bad decision. A good decision that fails (e.g., investing in a well-researched startup that goes under) is still good.

Some of the key takeaways from Duke's book include: thinking in bets annie duke pdf link

Imagine a future where you failed. Work backward to figure out why it happened. This allows you to spot risks before they become reality. The tendency to judge a decision’s quality by its outcome