His obsession for months had been Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable . He had heard of it in a webinar on risk management. The premise was intoxicating: a Black Swan is an unpredictable event with massive consequences that, after the fact, we rationalize as predictable. For an actuary, this was both a nightmare and a holy grail.
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Arif was riveted. He began to read, but the book read him back. His obsession for months had been Nassim Nicholas
Pernahkah Anda mengalami kejadian yang benar-benar di luar dugaan, yang mengubah hidup Anda secara drastis? Misalnya pandemi, krisis ekonomi, atau tiba-tiba menjadi viral di media sosial? For an actuary, this was both a nightmare and a holy grail